@elight this article points put that global energy usage has increased by about 3% per year over the last 50 years, and assumes that that rate of growth will continue for the next 1000 years. So, 3% compounded for 1,000 years. Long story short, the article assumes that in 3023, we will be using about 6.87 trillion times more energy than we used today. A lot of the secondary math might be right, but I think that initial assumption is unlikely to hold up
I think your strategy of taking it 100 years at a time is solid, but rather than calling this paper hard sci-fi I think it's closer to an object lesson about the dangers of applying pure math to an engineering and economics question.
@RobRoy @elight I think the tl;dr is that this article is great speculative hard science fiction and useless for policy.
Let’s do what we can to reduce carbon emissions in the next 100 years and then a couple hundred years after that we can check the tidal lock numbers again and still have hundreds of years to adjust power generation sources before calamity.