Everybody knows the Ea-Nasir facts, only people who took anthropology classes know the interesting conjecture:
Fact: most sumerian clay tablets were not baked/fired, they were usually recycled and the clay reused.
Fact: the Ea-Nasir complaint tablets were found, baked, in the ruins of a house.
Therefore we might assume that Ea-Nasir kept his unbaked complaint tablets in his house and somebody burned his house down.
@domenic I am surprised that that works, but it sure does.
@domenic hmm.
Maybe I should do more testing. I was under the impression that http on localhost wouldn't get me, say, a service worker.
I'm pretty sure there are APIs that are blocked on file: URLs for security reasons.
@k4r1m an Intuition Pump is a thought experiment that helps you to understand similar situations.
So, the likelihood of the sun supernovaing is tiny, but if that happens it means I was seriously wrong about how the universe works.
I also think LLMs will not become AGIs. If one does, it means my model of how intelligence works is seriously wrong.
It would be nice if I could discover that in a non-catastropic way.
@k4r1m that's what I think too.
I'm looking for an intuition pump on how to reason about things when most of the weight leans on the model being right or wrong, not the specific facts of the matter.