David Piepgrass @dpiepgrass@schelling.pt
- Home page
- http://david.loyc.net
EA, ACX fan, aspiring rationalist, antimisinformist. I focus on problems in the foundations of the world. My interests include molten salt reactors, making military takeovers fail, improving human intellectual efficiency, gathering and organizing the world’s information better than Google, programming language & library design, nudism, singing, AI, and SCIENCE.
Joined Dec 2022
From Twitter
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RT @AricToler
Original vs. edited versions of KIA counts https://t.co/ywtZW4BIv0
https://twitter.com/AricToler/status/1644139100407054336
From Twitter
The leaked Ukraine/Russian casualty *numbers* are themselves hilarious:
16k - 17.5k (RU)
61k - 71.5k (UA)
Notice anything "weird" (or should I say "palindromic") about these pairs of numbers?
From Twitter
I'm so curious to see the leaked data, but when I search for it the disinfo comes out on top atm.
You gotta wonder why the bots are claiming loss numbers that are obviously silly. Only 17K Russian deaths? Yeah okay. Seriously, why do they bother?
From Twitter
Jim Kennedy has good rants on this, though they tend to be light on details. He says China now has "the equivalent of five national laboratories that do nothing but rare earths." https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dbbifeLRHIA
From Twitter
If China has decided to invade Taiwan, I expect this will be one of the cornerstones of their strategy: mutually assured economic destruction. U.S. tries to intervene? China can cut off the U.S. from their supply of rare earths & other critical minerals. https://foreignpolicy.com/2022/11/22/critical-minerals-resources-us-china-competition-cold-war-supply-chains/
From Twitter
"China dominates the refining and processing of critical minerals, controlling up to 90% of this stage of the midstream of the supply chain." - China Research Group
https://chinaresearchgroup.org/research/the-uk-and-china-critical-minerals
From Twitter
RT @MBielieskov
Gen Milley is producing self-fulfilling prophecy - US unreadiness to provide SRBM ATACMS to UA is indeed decreasing chances for success of planned UA’s offensive to end this round of UA-RU confrontation soon in UA favour.
From Twitter
RT @DaveCBenoit
The story Evan Gershkovich wrote before he was arrested is the most read thing on WSJ today. Because his work deeply matters to people. And is that good.
#IStandWithEvan
https://www.wsj.com/articles/russias-economy-is-starting-to-come-undone-431a2878?st=vat1ywq9fkgbqs9
From Twitter
I'm sad about how Slashdotters reacted to @ESYudkowsky's piece in Time (he got into Time??)
Some upmodded comments thought AI could be very dangerous, but mostly it was a dumb chorus of "GPT4 just pattern-matching" (guys, GPT4 *isn't* the topic) and "meh can't be stopped"
From Twitter
RT @bellingcat
A video appearing to show Ukrainian soldiers harassing a Russian-speaking woman was widely circulated by pro-Russian figures and even official government social media accounts.
But online investigators have exposed the video as staged: https://www.bellingcat.com/news/2023/03/29/how-online-investigators-proved-video-of-ukrainian-soldiers-harassing-woman-was-staged/
From Twitter
The kind of thing Republican voters would welcome, that their news sources wouldn't tell them about.
From Twitter
And of course, Google isn't what it used to be. I see no solutions there.
At the very least, if I had more friends, maybe I could get a dose or two from them, to get evidence about whether meds WOULD work if I were allowed to try them.
From Twitter
I have a more subtle problem: neurotypicals have more friends, increasing the chance that one of them knows a trick for getting treatment or can describe how "the system" works in order to find loopholes in the system.
But I have minimal friends so there's no one who can help.
From Twitter
It's extraordinarily hard to get ADHD treatment (as an adult) if you also have Asperger's and the only working treatment is a stimulant.
Psychiatrists seem to think you can only have ASD OR ADHD, not both at once.
Can't figure out why my symptoms were unpersuasive. I am fucked.
From Twitter
RT @SmartUACat
🧵 Very fast, why every day of aid delay = Escalation of war.
Same day 1Y ago.
We have 700K troops. 500K of those doing "nothing". Training. If you can call it training. Having AK's only. For 9M. Why? We're given shit.
Don't start naming all those M's.
From Twitter
RT @VladVexler
The views you have are NOT a definition of the kind of person you are. But the way these views sit in you, IS.
From Twitter
RT @timkmak
We wanted to dig into just one war crime.
So we took the case of a man, who had been killed on Feb 28th, and tried to find out who he was, what happened to him, and who killed him.
That investigation alone took eight months to do.
But we found out who Oleksandr Breus was.
From Twitter
RT @danluu
One thing it took me quite a while to understand is how few bits of information it's possible to reliably convey to a large number of people.
When I was at MS, I remember initially being surprised at how unnuanced their communication was, but it really makes sense in hindsight.
From Twitter
But then, how would I explain this final chart? Hmm. Well, maybe there's less welfare for adults and more for children :P
From Twitter
After all, medical costs have risen much faster than inflation and the chart spans 40 years which might be enough for medical costs to have tripled.
The laws on the books normally don't autoincrease payments with inflation; maybe Greenstein did just enough to help hold the line.
- Home page
- http://david.loyc.net
EA, ACX fan, aspiring rationalist, antimisinformist. I focus on problems in the foundations of the world. My interests include molten salt reactors, making military takeovers fail, improving human intellectual efficiency, gathering and organizing the world’s information better than Google, programming language & library design, nudism, singing, AI, and SCIENCE.
Joined Dec 2022
