openphil's grants to ai safety cumulative by year
https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6091/open-phil-grants-to-ai-safety-in-2021/
Metaculus community median for the end of this year is $65.9M, bigger than 2019 (=$55m to found CSET)
given the pattern in which ai safety grants are made maybe this'll be some ~$40M grant to a big ai safety lab (anthropic? https://metaculus.com/questions/6091/open-phil-grants-to-ai-safety-in-2021/#comment-51633)
heres the cumulative chart for openphil's whole time making ai safety grants
a Schelling point for those who seek one
https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6091/open-phil-grants-to-ai-safety-in-2021/
Metaculus community median for the end of this year is $65.9M, bigger than 2019 (=$55m to found CSET)
given the pattern in which ai safety grants are made maybe this'll be some ~$40M grant to a big ai safety lab (anthropic? https://metaculus.com/questions/6091/open-phil-grants-to-ai-safety-in-2021/#comment-51633)