metaculus.com/questions/6091/o

Metaculus community median for the end of this year is $65.9M, bigger than 2019 (=$55m to found CSET)

given the pattern in which ai safety grants are made maybe this'll be some ~$40M grant to a big ai safety lab (anthropic? metaculus.com/questions/6091/o)

heres the cumulative chart for openphil's whole time making ai safety grants

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