https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1332/will-global-malaria-mortality-rates-be-reduced-by-90-when-compared-with-2015-rates-by-2030/ "Will global malaria mortality rates be reduced by 90% when compared with 2015 rates, by 2030?", median currently 40% (and u can see some hubbub on the right of the chart)
Median now 51%, up from 36% before malaria vaccine announcement 💉😀
a Schelling point for those who seek one