pascal's wager type thing: how long do you expect this twitter thread to be?
because like it's almost certainly only going to be a few tweets long
but what if I keep going?
do you assign less than 1/3^^^3 probability to it being 3^^^3 tweets long? how can you justify such a thing, with your merely human levels of information? (4/3^^^3)
like maybe you're in a world where this thread is fundamental (much less than log(3^^^3) bits to specify such a thing, I bet) and there's just a parameter fed into the turing machine that's how many tweets with just the word "oboe" it's padded out with (5/3^^^3)
just thinking out loud (7/3^^^3)
so a solomonoff prior would probably require you to expect infinite tweets in this thread? (6/3^^^3)