niplav @niplav@schelling.pt

What'd happen to the internet if the speed of light was 100x slower?

Ok followers what are sone *really* good old blogs?

reading "automating the boring stuff with python" with the gf 🤙

Having fun challenging with how to swap to variables

How many ships are there in the ocean at any time?

Economic policy checklist

Text at https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/oTaku2oCFC8ya5F3L/open-thread-june-2023-inline-reacts?commentId=5W7LEsBDhKgksGngt

@sj but the bet offer was geniune

@sj I will probably not do that, since it doesn't feel like it passes my relevance threshold. I acknowledge that this is a bit of a dick move (to criticize a paper based on the abstract and then refusing to give a detailed critique).

Best thing I might do is to argue against the decomposition approach in forecasting and try to find evaluations of it, I have the intuition it's either not been investigated or shown to be biased downwards

@sj their 2043 claim

@sj I'd be willing to bet against their claim at 50:1 odds. Their methodology is likely broken, and I will try to figure out whether there is any scientific support for this kind of question decomposition

@RadicalEdward david please take a walk

There are Pareto worsenings: you make everyone worse off by their standards. But are there Kaldor-Hicks worsenings?

The naive version (everyone is worse off, and there is no way of making a single person better off through distribution) doesn't work: you can always push a guy into huge debt and make everyone else super happy

Perhaps we just negate: everyone is worse off and there is no way of making everyone better off through distribution.

@Paradox Yeah :-/

@Paradox The one that makes things extremely better

I mean the other kinds would also be interesting, but not as hopeful

Although if someone could explain black hole geometry in poetry I'd celebrate that

There is surprisingly little post singularity poetry