niplav @niplav@schelling.pt

@BasementRat@toot.site I was wondering which ones, and I'm not sure-maybe a lot of low level stuff is sccrewed up & we cant have proteins or whatever

@liaizon sounds interesting! Boommarked

What'd happen to the internet if the speed of light was 100x slower?

Ok followers what are sone *really* good old blogs?

reading "automating the boring stuff with python" with the gf 🤙

Having fun challenging with how to swap to variables

How many ships are there in the ocean at any time?

Economic policy checklist

Text at https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/oTaku2oCFC8ya5F3L/open-thread-june-2023-inline-reacts?commentId=5W7LEsBDhKgksGngt

@sj but the bet offer was geniune

@sj I will probably not do that, since it doesn't feel like it passes my relevance threshold. I acknowledge that this is a bit of a dick move (to criticize a paper based on the abstract and then refusing to give a detailed critique).

Best thing I might do is to argue against the decomposition approach in forecasting and try to find evaluations of it, I have the intuition it's either not been investigated or shown to be biased downwards

@sj their 2043 claim

@sj I'd be willing to bet against their claim at 50:1 odds. Their methodology is likely broken, and I will try to figure out whether there is any scientific support for this kind of question decomposition

@RadicalEdward david please take a walk

There are Pareto worsenings: you make everyone worse off by their standards. But are there Kaldor-Hicks worsenings?

The naive version (everyone is worse off, and there is no way of making a single person better off through distribution) doesn't work: you can always push a guy into huge debt and make everyone else super happy

Perhaps we just negate: everyone is worse off and there is no way of making everyone better off through distribution.

@Paradox Yeah :-/