niplav @niplav@schelling.pt

Bayesian jihad

r strategy poster by day, K strategy poster by night

* cookie warnings (1 warning/(person*day)*5 seconds/warning*365 days/year*4 years*750 mio. persons=5475000000000 seconds (since GDPR was instituted), at 5€/hour that is 5475000000000 seconds*1 hour/(3600 seconds)*5 €/hour≅7.5 bio. €—is the benefit high enough to justify this? what *exactly* is the benefit even supposed to be?)

Some civilizational inadequacies (besides the other obvious ones)

* most of Europe still uses manual-shifting cars
* ceramic plates & cups made of glass that break easily
* non-velcro shoes
* courses at university are not 3b1b + Q&A + extensive questions (or automated tutoring a la DARPA)

OK the other answers are way less alarming

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/McsqZQBbwJnDXimNp/what-is-going-on-with-cfar?commentId=5kkyshj6hPiv64iBY

wait THIS IS NOT AT ALL ENCOURAGING

WTF IS GOING ON

BARC

ok, done: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/McsqZQBbwJnDXimNp/what-is-going-on-with-cfar

let's see for anything coming out of this

we need to achieve ∅

@Yujiri is writing a long site, and it's good https://yujiri.xyz/

very russian vibes

Okay, goal: figure out mechanistic interpretability so that if i get hold of Gato i can see whether it's relying on a few conglomerates of "agency" neurons

LW question about CFAR activity

additional question: what's going on with CFAR these days? gone?

(Un?)related point: take the winners of the first decade review (https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/s/HSA8wsaYiqdt4ouNF):

7 of them are "fluffy" posts, a lot more concerned with the vibe of EA. this feels — lacking, in some way? maybe a bit too much?

there's definitely a thing going on there which was definitely lw/forecasting influenced, these very small thought patterns

reading thousands of blogposts on this does increase your depth, imperceptibly at first

going to an ea conference has showed me that i'm now a medium-age EA (as in, i've been in EA longer than most people I talked to at the conf)

which is *weird*

really good post: https://musingsandroughdrafts.wordpress.com/2021/04/05/on-category-i-and-category-ii-problems/