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the beach boys were right. wouldn't it be nice

Problems with Bayesianism & How To Solve Them

I get either Generic Bayesian¹ or Wittgensteinian

¹: Which is totally true tbh, I talked the gf's ears off yesterday about Problems with Bayesianism & How To Solve Them

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See also gwern.net/colder-war

I think the question of interstellar warfare is really tricky. Grand Futures has a whole appendix on this, but the impression I get is that within the distance of a few parsec this is indeed a problem (objects/lasers can be aimed ~okay easily), but over larger scales you're safe because aiming/stochastic motion of large bodies becomes a problem

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Have you considered not converting physical tension into philosophical despair

Someone should tell Jim Simons about Effective Altriusm

Why didn't they add a dimension and call it tesseragda @amy

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"Does the market have random-walk nature?"

"Put"

The "I dont expect your children to die of old age" to "we are all the same age in years left" pipeline

I am always surprised about the degree to which normal people don't understand the stock market

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Only white people can be racist. Other ethnicities lack the moral, intellectual and cultural abilities to b

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