Ruben Arslan @rubenarslan@schelling.pt

RT @statsepi
This is *exactly* how I feel about generalised linear models.

RT @salonium
📌 Suicide rates among young people are also changing over time, but these trends vary between countries.

In some countries, suicide rates are rising among young people. But in many other countries, they are stable or declining.
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/suicide-rates-among-young-people?country=USA~JPN~ZAF~FRA

RT @salonium
We've published an update & redesign to our page at @OurWorldInData on Suicides, with some highlights:

• Suicide rates vary worldwide
• Suicide rates have declined in many countries
• Deaths by suicide are under-reported in many countries

Find it here
https://ourworldindata.org/suicide

RT @florianederer
And yet, it's still by far the authors' most cited paper and got one of them tenure at Stanford. https://twitter.com/StuartJRitchie/status/1642514012121210883

RT @ianhussey
The proportions reported in the article don't consider the variation within individual papers.

Reanalysing their data from OSF:

Individual articles range from 0-50% somewhat inaccurate or entirely false citations!

RT @MaxCRoser
Terrible to see the many reports about rising suicide rates among young people in the US.

I wanted to see whether this is also happening in other countries.
In many other countries it isn't happening, and rates are mostly constant or falling

RT @matt_blackwell
A recent, careful study came out in the AER showing that the Facebook rollout to colleges hurt mental health. So I looked at the aggregate data to see if this showed up in overall trends and there’s nothing!

By 2008 FB is open to the public but no change in aggregate outcomes

RT @JoeDNoonan
People are terrible at placing themselves on the income distribution, almost everyone underestimates their relative income.

RT @TranspariMED
Interesting finding by @DelwenFranzen and her team: large variation in research waste between German universities.

- Wurzburg published 87% of clinical trials
- Aachen only 50% (!!!)

Have a look at the dashboard:
https://www.transparimed.org/single-post/quest-dashboard @DFG_OfficiaI @dfg_public

RT @jamesbrandecon
🚨🚨New working paper! 🚨🚨
@IsraeliAyelet, @NgweDonald and I have a new paper out which uses GPT-3 to estimate consumer preferences. We show that GPT-3's responses to conjoint-like questions are internally consistent, consistent with econ theory, and of reasonable magnitudes! 1/

RT @salonium
New Substack by me, on the great success of chickenpox vaccination in the United States, and what the rest of the world can learn from it.

(Plus, lots of other stuff you might not know about chickenpox and shingles.)
https://salonium.substack.com/p/13-the-success-of-chickenpox-vaccines

RT @tkaiser_science
Bildungsausschuss be like
#WissZeitVG #Ichbinhanna
H/t @maltoesermalte

RT @laura_j_botzet
Oh entschuldigung, so besser? https://twitter.com/CaroWagner_in/status/1637155289957801985

RT @literalbanana
did no one look at this and go "weird, that's way too big to be real"? (it's on a 100-point scale) https://people.duke.edu/~dandan/webfiles/PapersPI/Commercial%20Features.pdf

RT @axpuig
GPT-4 (just released by @OpenAI) exhibits greatly improved abstraction capabilities, similar to those required to master the ARC by @fchollet.
It can even solve this 2D task that demand some generalization skills. (1/7)