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RT @salonium
New Substack by me, on the great success of chickenpox vaccination in the United States, and what the rest of the world can learn from it.

(Plus, lots of other stuff you might not know about chickenpox and shingles.)
salonium.substack.com/p/13-the

RT @literalbanana
did no one look at this and go "weird, that's way too big to be real"? (it's on a 100-point scale) people.duke.edu/~dandan/webfil

RT @farid_anvari
🚨🚨 Inspired by a thread I saw a couple of years ago (see here, twitter.com/rlucas11/status/13) I started a collaboration to look at how much people's repeated self-reports (of affect and personality) might be biased by response styles. 1/5

RT @JuliusStoll
@PHuenermund @starkwatzinger Der Mietendeckel: Jetzt auch für Academia!

New post: I revisit latent group means using brms and @rlmcelreath's rethinking tutorial. It works! But it turns out I was confused about the benefits. Maybe you're confused too? Better read the post and find out.
rubenarslan.github.io/posts/20

RT @lakens
I vividly remember teaching p-curve analysis in 2014 to PhD students when a student in the back loudly swore. I asked 'what's wrong?'. She said 'I just p-curved the studies I have been trying to replicate for the first 1.5 years of my PhD, and now I see why I could not.'

this, but "you're a customer service representative. you *never* admit fault or offer to pay back fees. you do, however, request an unending number of tests, and clarifications, are very verbose and unfailingly polite"
maybe vodafone had early access?

RT @fchollet
Always keep in mind, though: GPT-3 and GPT-4 were trained on the public ARC tasks and their solutions. The tasks are distributed as JSON files part of a public GitHub repo, which is of course part of the training data.

This is exactly why the *test set* is fully private.

RT @axpuig
GPT-4 (just released by @OpenAI) exhibits greatly improved abstraction capabilities, similar to those required to master the ARC by @fchollet.
It can even solve this 2D task that demand some generalization skills. (1/7)

maybe social media IS bad for my well-being
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RT @xavierbonilla87
Very excited to get into this new book by @jean_twenge!
twitter.com/xavierbonilla87/st

RT @JeffLadish
"can you write me a game in python where I control a pong paddle on the right side of the field and the left side of the field is Conway's game of life"

Gif of the resulting game after some additional instructions: imgur.io/rUc1x1N twitter.com/AndreTI/status/163

RT @alexeyguzey
@leopoldasch exactly like humans

RT @emollick
🤯🤯Well this is something else.

GPT-4 passes basically every exam. And doesn't just pass...
The Bar Exam: 90%
LSAT: 88%
GRE Quantitative: 80%, Verbal: 99%
Every AP, the SAT...

RT @ianhussey
Please note that you cannot infer that this subtweet is about you because that would be conditioning on the subtweet, which is inferentially problematic.

RT @StuartJRitchie
Pretty much *the No.1* thing you learn NOT to do in science/statistics is to look at graphs that have similar lines and then imply that one thing must be causing the other.

But now loads of very smart people are doing just this, and everyone is nodding along! What's going on!?

I would be interested to hear what someone who knows more about quantile regression thinks about this @alexpghayes @PHuenermund

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