seems to me that clearly sanctions on russia weren't enough because if they were russia would have predicted that and decided to not
alas in the direction of harsher you just get "let's do cathartic things that continue to not actually work" probably idk nobody anywhere seems competent ever
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@TetraspaceGrouping > they could have used conditional prediction markets to find this out
@TetraspaceGrouping this means i will feel guilty not spending more time on metaculus :-D
@niplav https://www.metaculus.com/questions/9945/announcing-the-ukraine-conflict-challenge/#comment-82604 !!