deety is of course the field of econ about maxxing your ufe once you've got a model with probs
Who is Emperor Belos from the Owl House?
It's Phillip Wittebane, I'm gonna wait until the end of the season just in case it's a bait and switch but it's Phillip Wittebane, we all know this from the moment Phil's name was mentioned, this is free M$.
https://manifold.markets/Tetraspace/who-is-emperor-belos-from-the-owl-h
What will the most cost-effective charity on Givewell's spreadsheet at the end of 2022 do?
In 2020 vitamin A supplementation overtook deworming as the top intervention in Givewell's spreadsheet.
This market is part of my greater vague idea of EA orgs maybe using predictions of their research findings to decide what research to prioritise; this market looks bullish on malaria prevention for example.
https://manifold.markets/Tetraspace/what-will-the-most-costeffective-ch
Will the Supreme Court uphold the Ninth Circuit's judgment that California Proposition 12 doesn't violate the Commerce Clause?
Article on the matter is https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/supreme-court/supreme-court-agrees-consider-law-regulating-pigs-are-raised-rcna2066, meat industry is saying California's new animal welfare requirements are unconstitutional because it's causally entangled with interstate commerce.
https://manifold.markets/Tetraspace/will-the-supreme-court-uphold-the-n
*Ramanujan voice* “Oh, AI alignment? That's just a continued fraction” *pulls out a notebook*
concepts
TurnTrout long site
johnswentworth long site
JhanicManifold long site
Anders Sandberg long site
Stuart Armstrong long site
Moved to @TetraspaceGrouping