I'm willing to take bets similar to the ones described in this tweet: https://nitter.hu/MatthewJBar/status/1534113341156691968#m
it's funny, conditional on AGI (and perhaps also WBE?) not doing us in, i'm pretty bullish on this century. bio seems much less of a problem, and everything else is basically a-okay, especially with people becoming richer and needing to fight less. most other collapse narratives sound pretty unlikely
I can either poast https://niplav.github.io/turning.html as it's now (with non-finished sections elided) to LW or post a half-finished version in 5 months (yes, it's not even half-finished by now)
wat do
right now I need to put my life insurance in absolute trust and also get a bunch of documents signed and notarised and then I'm sorted
this should be easy
https://manifold.markets/Tetraspace/will-i-have-signed-and-notarised-my
High variance
I think this might actually be a good idea?!
Shows willingness to give a loud signal to critics, but with gentle push back. Would encourage Gebru to actually read up on what EA *actually is* (she would do that, right?).
It would also satisfy my sadistic impulses towards Rob ;-)
If she refuses, make it known that she did, but in a mentioning way (accusing would be too obvious), which is almost as good as having her on. ("The critics won't talk to them directly!")
AI alignment in 12 seconds:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G4NcHrCz8yE
6 years and 2 weeks until AGI I guess
Moved to @TetraspaceGrouping