no people, you're getting it wrong: high uncertainty is *exactly* the time when you need probabilities
aaaahhh
@niplav there is no true probability out in the terrority for me to be expressing false confidence about! if you defer strongly to my "uh, 1 in 30?" because it's a number, that's your problem!
yea thats what im gonna say next time theres a post
a Schelling point for those who seek one
@niplav there is no true probability out in the terrority for me to be expressing false confidence about! if you defer strongly to my "uh, 1 in 30?" because it's a number, that's your problem!
yea thats what im gonna say next time theres a post