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It seems less & less likely that deepfakes will have a big impact

They've been available for half a decade now, what happened? Baaically nothing

@aquarial True for transitivity, still feels unsatisfactory

@rune

I will also give away some of my income, because I believe these things! It'll be ~10%, since i don't have 11 bio. (or 125 bio. dollars)

@rune

6. Neither is ~125 bio., although the case is less clear here—but the Giving Pledge doesn't say anything about how that money is supposed to be used, and indeed I believe it's going to be used for mostly stupid stuff. I don't consider the Giving Pledge to be an effective altruist institution, because the lack of constraints on effectiveness.

@rune (And not just use it for money laundering).

4. Giving away all your money immediately is *not* the optimal way to make the world better. It would be pretty stupid to do that.

5. 11 billion dollars is *not* sufficient to solve even one global problem. And there are many of those: global poverty, climate change, factory farming, global catastrophic biorisk…

@rune
Here's some things I believe:

1. If you're in the top 5% of income worldwide (which would correspond to ~200k DKK/year) my ethics tells me that you have a pretty strong duty to give some of your income to the less fortunate. This duty rises with higher levels of wealth.

2. EA does usually *not* make this demand, and everyone who claims otherwise is kindly asked to provide strong evidence.

3. The people who have pledged to give away their fortunes will indeed do so.

@rune

Hello there! (The Effective Altriusm Defender has logged on).

Could I know which video this is?

A priori this seems unlikely, I'd expect them to ask to donate to the organisations they support.

But then again, maybe it'd be good to think on the object level about what concrete things they are asking to be supported.

Evaluation being easier than generation doesn't mean evaluation is easy

Has anyone tried to ask organisational psychologists about scalable oversight?

@theresnotime
Strong limit gender
Inaccessible gender
gender#
almost ineffable, ineffable, n-ineffable, totally ineffable gender
n-superstrong (n≥2), n-almost huge, n-super almost huge, n-huge, n-superhuge gender

@scathach
"“Exactly, Houston. Everything is okay. Nothing is wrong. Nothing has ever been wrong, anywhere. The cosmos is like a flawless jewel, each of whose facets is another flawless jewel, and so on to infinity. Except there is no jewel. It’s all light. No, there isn’t even light. From within Time you can’t see any of it, but when you step outside into Eternity it’s all so…full. It’s so beautiful, Houston.”"

"HOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

niplav boosted
HOLY HOLY HOLY IS THE LORD OF HOSTS HOLY HOLY HOLY IS THE LORD OF HOSTS HOLY HOLY HOLY IS THE LORD OF HOSTS HOLY HOLY HOLY IS THE LORD OF HOSTS HOLY HOLY HOLY IS THE LORD OF HOSTS HOLY HOLY HOLY IS THE LORD OF HOSTS HOLY HOLY HOLY IS THE LORD OF HOSTS HOLY HOLY HOLY IS THE LORD OF HOSTS HOLY HOLY HOLY IS THE LORD OF HOSTS HOLY HOLY HOLY IS THE LORD OF HOSTS HOLY HOLY HOLY IS THE LORD OF HOSTS HOLY HOLY HOLY IS THE LORD OF HOSTS HOLY HOLY HOLY IS THE LORD OF HOSTS HOLY HOLY HOLY IS THE LORD OF HOSTS HOLY HOLY HOLY IS THE LORD OF HOSTS HOLY HOLY HOLY IS THE LORD OF HOSTS HOLY HOLY HOLY IS THE LORD OF HOSTS HOLY HOLY HOLY IS THE LORD OF HOSTS HOLY HOLY HOLY IS THE LORD OF HOSTS HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY HOLY

- How did the polynesians settle all those islands in the Pacific? [[History Questions]]
- This seems just impossible to do, to me. Or *a lot* of people die in attempts

- Since cancers evolve very quickly and diversely, can we perhaps ultimately use *that fact* as a method of detecting cancer, as a sort of OOD-situation for cells in the body?
- quantamagazine.org/studies-rev
- In general cancers need to evolve quicker than the systems they're embedded in
- Applications to [[Demons in the Prior]]?

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