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orthogonality of substrate and structure in general

Projects that give me money > projects that improve my life > projects that increase my knowledge about the world > all other projects

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man this is really nice. feels more like hanging out in a den or something.

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Prediction this makes: conflict theorists more often profess Knightian uncertainty about a thing

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Knightian uncertainty is applicable if there is a process explicitely optimising against your belief state

It is unfortunate that positive/negative can mean "presence"/"absence" and "being for"/"being against".

It is similarly unfortunate that "phobic" can mean both "afraid of" and "being against".

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@vriska Number of pillows on your bed

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@vriska Number of blankets on your bed

how many metaculus questions resolved on technicalities?

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AI, AIPOL 

Even as dumb as they are, current LLMs do have some extremely limited emergent general intelligence capabilities.

The comparison to parrots is apt, because parrots are (generally) intelligent too. Don't knock parrots just because they aren't humans (and the parrots are currently smarter than our best AIs).

We also (as far as I'm aware) haven't found the limits of current approaches. We really don't know what's going to happen.

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In general, how good are humans at solving problems compared to the theoretical optimum?

hint: he's been working on……another project, let's say

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