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basically this

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RT @robinhanson
Philosophy is mainly useful in inoculating you against other philosophy. Else you'll be vulnerable to the first coherent philosophy you hear
twitter.com/robinhanson/status

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why eat fish mb ok besides fish taste good
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RT @pareinoia
@BenRatkey @eggprophet consciousness, intelligence, ability to feel pain, etc yeah
twitter.com/pareinoia/status/1

in this way, its comparable to Newcomb's paradox, which functions similarly, but for decision theory instead. when trying to understand a system, you learn the most from studying the ways it fails, its boundary conditions; your mind is no exception here.

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RT @pee_zombie
the problem is effectively designed to capture intuitive reasoning, which typically fails to arrive at the presumably "correct" answer of 1box; it attempts to demon…
twitter.com/pee_zombie/status/

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the Monty Hall problem functions as a sort of Bayesian "mu", an epistemic shock, attempting to knock you out of intuitive complacency, ideally motivating you to re-evaluate your reasoning in other domains; if you got this one wrong, what else might you be?

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RT @pee_zombie
it feels bad, being hit with a {mu, categorical error, not-even-wrong}, but digging into that discomfort is the path to a small enlightenment, a realization that yo…
twitter.com/pee_zombie/status/

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this problem's real utility is in showing just how faulty our typical reasoning can be; far from being a weird edge case, the intuitive failure mode highlighted here is representative of many modern situations where we must update our beliefs in response to confusing evidence

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our intuitions utilize many heuristics to quickly arrive at an answer, which is critical when you're time-constrained, such as when being chased by a lion

in the modern environment however, decisions are rarely that urgent, and as such, these heuristics tend to bias our thinking

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not gunna pretend to truly understand Bayes' theorem, but the relevant idea is that to get the probabilities right, you need to correctly "update your priors" in response to the door(s) being opened, ie, your a priori estimation of each door's contents; we're often bad at this

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compared to typical probability-based problems where you already have all the info available to you, this one involves changing probabilities based on the introduction of new info, ie the domain of Bayesian analysis. it is easy to get confused, with a naive interpretation thereof

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the apparent paradox presented by the Monty Hall problem can be difficult to naively resolve bc it lies at the intersection of probability & epistemology, which are already complex enough on their own

it requires carefully thinking through "what you know", which is nontrivial
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RT @Jerbivore

twitter.com/Jerbivore/status/1

if you proactively seek out the most dangerous ideas and defeat them in single combat you become uncordyceptible

in theory
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RT @turrible_tao
@tszzl Infohazard bug chasing
twitter.com/turrible_tao/statu

a fascinating data point supporting wu wei; by trying to force an outcome, they achieved the exact opposite, and if they had instead not interfered, it would have naturally happened
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RT @pegobry
Without environmental activists, electricity would be 80-90% nuclear, and there wouldn't BE a CO2 problem.
twitter.com/pegobry/status/139

those who consider this worldview depressing and soulless simply lack imagination, and are reactionaries responding to the failure of New Atheism to replace the metaphysics it tore down with a new, meaningful one. there is plenty of beauty and significance in the mundane universe
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RT @margaritaevna95
Any man who tries to look smart by saying we are merely meat sacks with self aware software, is quite frankly evil. Prevent this n…
twitter.com/margaritaevna95/st

this is the case for basically every debate of any import; it all comes down to personal psychology. politics is simply internal tension writ large upon the world, akin to the primordial quantum foam determining the texture of the cosmic microwave background

few understand this
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RT @ashleydzhang
the Kindle vs. physical book debate is just the inner tension between the freedom of a minimalist nomadic lifestyle vs. the stability of …
twitter.com/ashleydzhang/statu

willing to bet money that within 40 years this will be real (the catgirls will be engineered and sub-conscious, perhaps with silicon minds)

you don't leash a cat, however. just put a collar on it to show ownership
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RT @egregirls
insert American psycho business card scene but they're showing off leashed catgirls instead
twitter.com/egregirls/status/1

do you quote the teachings of the Buddha as a spiritual authority?
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RT @chaosprime
did you show up on time every day to discuss Foucault?
twitter.com/chaosprime/status/

nothing like some coldbrew-induced ecstatic schizopoasting on a saturday, really living my best life

in conclusion, let our drill be the drill that pierces the heavens; there is a multitude of ceilings above us, but we must, and will, transcend them

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