Moved to mastodon.social! @TetraspaceGrouping@schelling.pt

wonder what the metaphysical implications of losing my dnd character's sheet and then restoring it approximately from memory are

@WomanCorn it's not working for me with this error message https://schelling.pt/@TetraspaceGrouping/107842289023797114

@niplav Specifically, it incentivises extremising: e.g. if you think something has a 60% chance of happening, you would want to predict 0.9999..., because that would give you a zillion log points if it happens, and negative a zillion log points if it doesn't, for an expected 0.2 zillion log points.

Redistribution of gains proposal:
- Add a default visa, available to everyone no questions asked, that lets them work live etc. indefinitely but requires a tax of X% of their income above median income in home country

Then set X so >50% of people support proposal and all immigration that is believed to be net good for citizens and immigrants will happen

@niplav Yep, this does (if Russia is less likely to get anything from invading, charge Russia more, which they would still benefit from because they're spending their military budget for a 1/X change of getting concessions, though it gets less Pareto because money and territory don't quite funge)

Pareto improvement proposal:
- Russia pays Ukraine $100bn
- LPR and DPR become independent
- Ukraine calls a new election in which Russian citizens are treated as Ukrainian for the purposes of campaigning/financing

This is better for Ukraine because before they would get all the bad things + a bunch of their stuff blown up and now they get $100bn

This is better for Russia because before they still spent $100bn on military stuff but also they got sanctioned and had their stuff blown up

@niplav Let p = the probablity you assign to the true outcome, and q = the probablity you write down. Then your expected score is s(p,q) = p f(q) + (1-p) f(1-q) where f(q) is the score awarded when assigning a probablity of q to the correct outcome.

If the scoring rule is proper, then the derivative would be 0 when p = q. This is not the case for points based on the log odds: https://www.wolframalpha.com/input?i=d%2Fdq+%28p+ln%28q%2F%281-q%29%29+%2B+%281-p%29+ln%28%281-q%29%2Fq%29+%29%3D+0

maybe the good guys use brick or wood idk what standard peasant contruction would be like but i like the idea that they just discovered roman concrete and ran with it for the rest of history and modernity

in tetratopian genre-tropey fantasy fiction, the villain cities are bright crystal spires to show off how decadent and extractive their pseudo-aristocrats are, whereas the good guy cities are rows of concrete apartments to show off how much thought theyve put into designing optimal tileable living spaces

(in scifi, it inverts, because everyone is super rich so they can afford spire pods without that causing issues)

tetratopia icon if i ever like glowfic as it or anything

@augustus Evidence it's legit: https://twitter.com/VitalikButerin/status/1497608588822466563?s=20&t=qTzpbPTgJ7FH_kGSh_Pvag

between the whole high heels weird stuff going on with hair appearing in dreams and everything else I think that Cosmicandy Girl might be an erogamer

the problem with cosmicandy girl is the first time i listed to it i had a religious experience but the second through infinitieth times its just a really good song